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28.02.2025 16:06:08

AMINA Bank: Crypto Pulse: Market Sentiment and Key Developments

Markets flash signs Bitcoin poised for rally despite recent dip Investors are betting Bitcoin will surge to $120,000 in March despite crypto markets crashing to $88,000 this week. This is according to options data, which shows that almost four out of every 10 trades that expire March 28 will only pay out if Bitcoin hits above $120,000.

Figure 1: BTC: Open Interest by Expiration Date

Source: Basedmoney.io, AMINA Bank, 27 February 2025

The sentiment echoes that Bitcoin's current dip is merely a temporary setback before a significant breakout rally. This optimism is attributed to growing institutional adoption, with sovereign wealth funds and pension funds showing increased interest in the cryptocurrency.

Open interest in Ethereum is similarly bullish, with two of every three options investors on Deribit betting the world's second-largest cryptocurrency will rise.

Figure 2: ETH: Open Interest by Expiration Date

Source: Basedmoney.io, AMINA Bank, 27 February 2025

Of the major cryptocurrencies, Solana is the only one in which bears outnumber the bulls: more than half of options contracts are puts, and they account for 90% of the notional volume of open interest on Deribit.

Figure 3: SOL: Open Interest by Expiration Date

Source: Basedmoney.io, AMINA Bank, 27 February 2025

Other key developments this week

The BDACS-Ripple partnership will strengthen institutional adoption of XRP and RLUSD by providing secure custody services in South Korea. This move aligns with new regulatory frameworks while boosting XRPL ecosystem growth and enhancing stablecoin usability.

With Korea's increasing demand for regulated digital asset custody, the partnership further validates XRP's role in payments and signals long-term growth potential for XRP holders.

Bitwise's Aptos ETF filing indicates growing institutional interest in APT, potentially leading to increased demand and legitimacy for the token. If approved, this would become the first U.S.-based ETF holding APT directly.

The news has already boosted APT's price by 10%, breaking its recent downtrend. This development follows successful Aptos ETP launches in Europe, strengthening global adoption.

Finally, Bank of America's potential stablecoin launch signals deeper institutional adoption of blockchain technology, reinforcing crypto's mainstream acceptance. With regulatory clarity potentially approaching, BofA's entry could boost liquidity and drive innovation across digital assets.

This move follows JP Morgan's JPM Coin, highlighting growing competition among major banks to integrate blockchain solutions into their services.

Disclaimer - Research
This document has been prepared by AMINA Bank AG ("AMINA") in Switzerland. AMINA is a Swiss bank and securities dealer with its head office and legal domicile in Switzerland. It is authorized and regulated by the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA). This document is published solely for educational purposes; it is not an advertisement nor is it a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial investment or to participate in any particular investment strategy. This document is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. It is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or would subject AMINA to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained in this document, except with respect to information concerning AMINA. The information is not intended to be a complete statement or summary of the financial investments, markets or developments referred to in the document. AMINA does not undertake to update or keep current the information. Any statements contained in this document attributed to a third party represent AMINA's interpretation of the data, information and/or opinions provided by that third party either publicly or through a subscription service, and such use and interpretation have not been reviewed by the third party. Any prices stated in this document are for information purposes only and do not represent valuations for individual investments. There is no representation that any transaction can or could have been affected at those prices, and any price(s) do not necessarily reflect AMINA’s internal books and records or theoretical model-based valuations and may be based on certain assumptions. Different assumptions by AMINA or any other source may yield substantially different results. Nothing in this document constitutes a representation that any investment strategy or investment is suitable or appropriate to an investor’s individual circumstances or otherwise constitutes a personal recommendation. Investments involve risks, and investors should exercise prudence and their own judgment in making their investment decisions. Financial investments described in the document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. Certain services and products are subject to legal restrictions and cannot be offered on an unrestricted basis to certain investors. Recipients are therefore asked to consult the restrictions relating to investments, products or services for further information. Furthermore, recipients may consult their legal/tax advisors should they require any clarifications. At any time, investment decisions (including whether to buy, sell or hold investments) made by AMINA and its employees may differ from or be contrary to the opinions expressed in AMINA research publications. This document may not be reproduced, or copies circulated without prior authority of AMINA. Unless otherwise agreed in writing AMINA expressly prohibits the distribution and transfer of this document to third parties for any reason. AMINA accepts no liability whatsoever for any claims or lawsuits from any third parties arising from the use or distribution of this document. Research will initiate, update and cease coverage solely at the discretion of AMINA. The information contained in this document is based on numerous assumptions. Different assumptions could result in materially different results. AMINA may use research input provided by analysts employed by its affiliate B&B Analytics Private Limited, Mumbai. The analyst(s) responsible for the preparation of this document may interact with trading desk personnel, sales personnel and other parties for the purpose of gathering, applying and interpreting market information. The compensation of the analyst who prepared this document is determined exclusively by AMINA.


Bildquelle: AMINA BANK, AMINA BANK
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